Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2023 at 11am UK
Tsentralnyi miskyi Stadion

Cherkasy
3 - 0
Obolon

Kovalev (29'), Shestakov (56'), Naumets (89')
Norenkov (31'), Shestakov (80'), Boyko (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pryymak (28'), Moroz (48'), Taranukha (71')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between LNZ Cherkasy and Obolon Kyiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

LNZ Cherkasy

All competitions
Last Game: Shakhtar 3-0 Cherkasy
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Last Game: Obolon 2-4 Luhansk
Friday, October 20 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LNZ Cherkasy win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a LNZ Cherkasy win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LNZ Cherkasy would win this match.

Result
LNZ CherkasyDrawObolon Kyiv
37.86% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)29.9% (0.101 0.1)32.23% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.14% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.02% (-0.313 -0.31)64.98% (0.315 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.12% (-0.218 -0.22)83.87% (0.221 0.22)
LNZ Cherkasy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.202 -0.2)33.13% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.224 -0.22)69.73% (0.22500000000001 0.23)
Obolon Kyiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.02% (-0.202 -0.2)36.98% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23% (-0.201 -0.2)73.76% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    LNZ Cherkasy 37.86%
    Obolon Kyiv 32.23%
    Draw 29.89%
LNZ CherkasyDrawObolon Kyiv
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.44% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 37.86%
1-1 @ 13.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.25% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.89%
0-1 @ 12.18% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 32.23%