Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LNZ Cherkasy win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a LNZ Cherkasy win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LNZ Cherkasy would win this match.