Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 11, 2023 at 1.15pm UK
Obolon' Arena

Obolon
0 - 1
Vorskla


Fateev (60'), Pryymak (90+4'), Slobodyan (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stepanyuk (67' pen.)
Pavliuk (55'), Chelyadin (90+4')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Obolon Kyiv and Vorskla Poltava.

Form, Standings, Stats

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 2-2 Obolon
Monday, November 6 at 5pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions
Last Game: Minai 0-0 Vorskla
Sunday, November 5 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vorskla Poltava in this match.

Result
Obolon KyivDrawVorskla Poltava
28.68% (-0.63 -0.63)27.28% (0.036999999999999 0.04)44.03% (0.599 0.6)
Both teams to score 47.89% (-0.443 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.81% (-0.401 -0.4)57.19% (0.406 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95% (-0.321 -0.32)78.05% (0.32400000000001 0.32)
Obolon Kyiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (-0.70299999999999 -0.7)35.45% (0.707 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (-0.736 -0.74)72.21% (0.74299999999999 0.74)
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.124 0.12)25.81% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (0.168 0.17)60.76% (-0.164 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Obolon Kyiv 28.68%
    Vorskla Poltava 44.03%
    Draw 27.28%
Obolon KyivDrawVorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.68%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 12.39% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.39% (0.186 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.79% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 44.03%