Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.