Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.