Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadion Shakhty Zhovtneva

Kryvbas Kryvyi
1 - 0
Chornomorets

Prykhodko (58' pen.)
Kuzyk (37'), Beskorovainyi (77'), Ponedelnik (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-3 Rukh Lviv
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 0-0 Luhansk
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih in this match.

Result
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawChornomorets Odesa
37.76% (-0.794 -0.79)26.2% (-0.362 -0.36)36.04% (1.157 1.16)
Both teams to score 53.54% (1.309 1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (1.614 1.61)51.05% (-1.613 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (1.4 1.4)72.91% (-1.398 -1.4)
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (0.30900000000001 0.31)26.33% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.52% (0.408 0.41)61.47% (-0.406 -0.41)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (1.479 1.48)27.32% (-1.478 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (1.878 1.88)62.77% (-1.877 -1.88)
Score Analysis
    Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 37.76%
    Chornomorets Odesa 36.04%
    Draw 26.19%
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawChornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.307 -0.31)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.76%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.478 -0.48)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.34% (-0.215 -0.22)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.218 0.22)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.232 0.23)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.174 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.04%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 22
Kryvbas Kryvyi
2-3
Chornomorets
Zaderaka (58'), Lunyov (62')
Alefirenko (40', 76'), Kuzyk (66')
Dec 2, 2022 11am
Gameweek 7
Chornomorets
0-1
Kryvbas Kryvyi
Stetskov (45+1')