Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.32%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.