Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.56%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.