Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.