Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.