Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 9, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Oleksandriya

Polissya
1 - 2
Oleksandriya

Kozak (62' pen.)
Mykhaylichenko (43'), Taylor (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mykhailenko (10'), Shulianskyi (77')
Kaliuzhnyi (40'), Belyaev (90+3')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Polissya Zhytomyr and FC Oleksandriya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Polissya 0-1 Cherkasy
Friday, March 1 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Oleksandriya 0-0 Luhansk
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 0-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Polissya ZhytomyrDrawFC Oleksandriya
45.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)28.84% (0.029 0.03)25.48% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.75% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.06% (-0.101 -0.1)63.93% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.86% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)83.14% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)28.12% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)63.79% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
FC Oleksandriya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.08% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)41.92% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (-0.058 -0.06)78.37% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Polissya Zhytomyr 45.67%
    FC Oleksandriya 25.47%
    Draw 28.84%
Polissya ZhytomyrDrawFC Oleksandriya
1-0 @ 14.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 28.84%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 25.47%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Oleksandriya
0-3
Polissya

Smyrnyi (36'), Siheiev (52')
Nazarenko (77'), Makouana (80'), Budkivskyi (88')
Smoliakov (45'), Shabanov (51')