Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.