Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 60.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.