UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Slavutych-Arena

Luhansk
4 - 0
Breidablik

Guerrero (2'), Muminovic (11' og.), Micin (19'), Horbach (76')
Bol (7'), Batagov (17'), Antyukh (52'), Churko (65'), Jordan (83')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Orn Margeirsson (65'), Kristinsson (74'), Muminovic (76')

Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Zorya Luhansk and Breidablik.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 2-2 Luhansk
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Breidablik

All competitions

Last Game: Breidablik 1-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Thursday, November 30 at 1pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Breidablik had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Breidablik win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Breidablik
51.38% ( 0.1)	20.93% ( 0.02)	27.69% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 68.73% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.36% (

-0.2)

29.63% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.25% (

-0.24)

50.74% (

0.24)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.94% (

-0.05)

12.05% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.44% (

-0.09)

37.56% (

0.08)

Breidablik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14% (

-0.18)

21.85% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.91% (

-0.27)

55.08% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 51.38%

Breidablik 27.69%

Draw 20.93%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Breidablik
2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.35% 4-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.38%	1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.93%	1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.69%