Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Minai had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Minai win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.