Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Apr 8, 2024 at 11am UK
Stadion Mynai

Minai
2 - 3
Polissya

Ustymenko (65', 87')
Gunichev (13'), Semotyuk (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hernandez (10', 27'), Mustafaev (59')
Petryak (76'), Tankovskiy (86')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Minai and Polissya Zhytomyr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minai

All competitions
Last Game: Minai 2-2 Oleksandriya
Sunday, March 31 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Polissya Zhytomyr

All competitions
Last Game: Polissya 1-4 Chornomorets
Saturday, March 30 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Minai had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Minai win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.

Result
MinaiDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
20.12% (0.013999999999999 0.01)25.97% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)53.9% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.48% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22% (0.021999999999998 0.02)58.78% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7% (0.016000000000002 0.02)79.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Minai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.69% (0.028999999999996 0.03)44.31% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.63% (0.026 0.03)80.37% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (0.0020000000000095 0)21.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)55.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Minai 20.13%
    Polissya Zhytomyr 53.89%
    Draw 25.97%
MinaiDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-1 @ 4.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 20.13%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 14.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 5.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 53.89%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 8
Polissya
2-1
Minai
Smoliakov (68'), Mustafaev (83')
Ogirya (71'), Mustafaev (81')
Tverdokhlib (39')
Tverdokhlib (44'), Rogozynsky (45+1'), Korablin (65'), Vitenchuk (76')