Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Mar 16, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Obolon' Arena

Obolon
1 - 0
Polissya

Chernenko (10')
Prokopenko (7'), Chernenko (23'), Dubko (44'), Grysjo (58'), Pryymak (70'), Medynskyi (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kozak (50'), Tankovskiy (51'), Mykhaylichenko (56'), Fortune (57')
Chobotenko (2')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Obolon Kyiv and Polissya Zhytomyr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-0 Obolon
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Polissya Zhytomyr

All competitions
Last Game: Polissya 1-2 Oleksandriya
Saturday, March 9 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Obolon KyivDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
23.8% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)26.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)49.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 45.74% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (0.035000000000004 0.04)58.09% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (0.027999999999999 0.03)78.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Obolon Kyiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.86% (0.026999999999994 0.03)40.14% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.22% (0.025000000000002 0.03)76.78% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)57.65% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Obolon Kyiv 23.8%
    Polissya Zhytomyr 49.47%
    Draw 26.72%
Obolon KyivDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.94%
3-1 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 23.8%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 13.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 49.47%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 6
Polissya
2-0
Obolon
Grytsuk (90+7' pen.), Kozak (90+9')
Budkivskyi (22'), Smoliakov (35')

Moroz (33'), Taranukha (79')
Moroz (90+5')