Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.