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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Feb 26, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Obolon' Arena

Obolon
1 - 1
Chornomorets

Krasnopir (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Shtohrin (84')
Bragaru (79')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Obolon Kyiv and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 2-0 Obolon
Monday, December 11 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 1-0 Kovalivka
Sunday, December 10 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Obolon KyivDrawChornomorets Odesa
39.93% (-0.578 -0.58) 27.63% (0.038 0.04) 32.44% (0.54 0.54)
Both teams to score 48.44% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.77% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)57.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.92% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)78.08% (0.012 0.01)
Obolon Kyiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (-0.32900000000001 -0.33)28.02% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.33% (-0.421 -0.42)63.67% (0.421 0.42)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (0.36999999999999 0.37)32.7% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (0.412 0.41)69.25% (-0.411 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Obolon Kyiv 39.93%
    Chornomorets Odesa 32.44%
    Draw 27.63%
Obolon KyivDrawChornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 11.65% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.93%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.44%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 3
Chornomorets
2-0
Obolon
Vasyliev (15'), Iyede (62')
Bragaru (44'), Kuzyk (54')
Kuzyk (72'), Salyuk (79')

Karas (26'), Pryymak (85'), Pryymak (86')
Karas (48')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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