Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadion Chornomorets

Chornomorets
3 - 0
Minai

Shtohrin (19', 68'), Kuzyk (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sharan (37'), Ralyuchenko (48'), Ghecev (72')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and Minai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-0 Chornomorets
Sunday, October 8 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 0-0 Minai
Sunday, October 8 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 47.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Minai had a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chornomorets Odesa would win this match.

Result
Chornomorets OdesaDrawMinai
47.14% (0.027000000000001 0.03)26.43% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)26.43% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.76% (0.031000000000006 0.03)55.23% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54% (0.026 0.03)76.46% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (0.027999999999992 0.03)23.42% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (0.039000000000001 0.04)57.43% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Minai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (0.0049999999999955 0)36.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)73% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chornomorets Odesa 47.14%
    Minai 26.43%
    Draw 26.42%
Chornomorets OdesaDrawMinai
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.43%

Head to Head
May 20, 2023 11am
Gameweek 27
Chornomorets
0-1
Minai

Demchenko (33')
Hadida (61' og.)
Melnyk (32'), Dmytruk (52'), Nemchaninov (54'), Kravchuk (81')
Nov 10, 2022 11am
Gameweek 12
Minai
0-1
Chornomorets
Putria (5' pen.)
Sep 12, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 7
Minai
2-2
Chornomorets
Baidal (42' pen.), Vyshnevskyi (53')
Seleznyov (90+1')
Vanat (56'), Avagimian (64')
Vantukh (41')