Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LNZ Cherkasy win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a LNZ Cherkasy win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LNZ Cherkasy would win this match.