Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 9, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Shakhty Zhovtneva

Kryvbas Kryvyi
1 - 0
Obolon

Kuzyk (57')
Tverdokhlib (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Moroz (38'), Pryymak (68'), Prokopenko (90+4')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih and Obolon Kyiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shakhtar 5-2 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Sunday, March 3 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Obolon 0-1 Dnipro-1
Sunday, March 3 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih in this match.

Result
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawObolon Kyiv
48.77% (-0.624 -0.62)26.73% (0.26 0.26)24.5% (0.368 0.37)
Both teams to score 46.37% (-0.369 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.38% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)57.61% (0.656 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (-0.518 -0.52)78.38% (0.52200000000001 0.52)
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.56599999999999 -0.57)23.7% (0.568 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (-0.822 -0.82)57.82% (0.825 0.83)
Obolon Kyiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)39.23% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)75.94% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 48.77%
    Obolon Kyiv 24.5%
    Draw 26.72%
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawObolon Kyiv
1-0 @ 13.38% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 48.77%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.3% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.208 0.21)
1-2 @ 5.86% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.07% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 24.5%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 5
Obolon
0-0
Kryvbas Kryvyi
Slobodyan (34')
Lunyov (41')