Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.