Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Apr 8, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Shakhty Zhovtneva

Kryvbas Kryvyi
1 - 1
Vorskla

Sosah (22' pen.)
Bizimana (34'), Stetskov (58'), Lunyov (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stepanyuk (30')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih and Vorskla Poltava.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

All competitions
Last Game: Veres 0-2 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Saturday, March 30 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions
Last Game: Vorskla 1-5 Dynamo Kiev
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 35.62%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawVorskla Poltava
35.62% (-0.231 -0.23)28.91% (0.084 0.08)35.47% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 45.14% (-0.23 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.5% (-0.283 -0.28)61.5% (0.285 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.63% (-0.211 -0.21)81.37% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.24% (-0.297 -0.3)32.77% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.67% (-0.334 -0.33)69.33% (0.33699999999999 0.34)
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)32.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)69.43% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 35.62%
    Vorskla Poltava 35.47%
    Draw 28.9%
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawVorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 35.62%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.76% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.9%
0-1 @ 11.98% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.67% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.47%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Vorskla
1-4
Kryvbas Kryvyi
Chelyadin (18')
Rosa da Cunha (43'), Santana (43'), Yakubu (57')
Zaderaka (31'), Kozhushko (36', 51'), Dibango (82')
Kozhushko (21'), Debelko (90+2')
May 19, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 27
Vorskla
1-0
Kryvbas Kryvyi
Stepanyuk (62')
Sulejmanov (21'), Pavliuk (42'), Stepanyuk (52')

Dibango (28'), Zaderaka (34'), Sosah (51')
Nov 9, 2022 11am
Gameweek 12
Kryvbas Kryvyi
1-0
Vorskla
Kapic (50' pen.)