Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 35.62%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.