Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 27
May 5, 2024 at 4pm UK
Olimpiysky National Sports Complex

Shakhtar
3 - 0
Chornomorets

Sudakov (19'), Sikan (23'), Kevin (56' pen.)
Zubkov (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Salyuk (59')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Last Game: Chornomorets 1-4 Shakhtar
Wednesday, May 1 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Chornomorets Odesa

All competitions
Last Game: Chornomorets 1-4 Shakhtar
Wednesday, May 1 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 79.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 7.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawChornomorets Odesa
79.11% (0.898 0.9)13.25% (-0.431 -0.43)7.63% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 49.91% (-0.636 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.4% (0.402 0.4)31.6% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.9% (0.47 0.47)53.1% (-0.47000000000001 -0.47)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.7% (0.254 0.25)6.29% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.3% (0.699 0.7)23.7% (-0.7 -0.7)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.27% (-0.825 -0.83)46.73% (0.824 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.72% (-0.633 -0.63)82.28% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 79.09%
    Chornomorets Odesa 7.63%
    Draw 13.25%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawChornomorets Odesa
2-0 @ 11.24% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 10.36% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.17% (0.253 0.25)
4-1 @ 5.45% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 3.97% (0.195 0.2)
5-1 @ 3.02% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.83% (0.115 0.12)
6-1 @ 1.39% (0.056 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 79.09%
1-1 @ 6.19% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 3.26% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 13.25%
1-2 @ 2.35% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 2.24% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 7.63%

Head to Head
May 1, 2024 11am
Gameweek 12
Chornomorets
1-4
Shakhtar
Badibanga (12')
Vasyliev (40'), Sporn (52')
Gomes (3', 16', 41'), Shved (65')
Bondar (78'), Matviyenko (88')
Apr 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 19
Chornomorets
2-2
Shakhtar
Putria (8' pen.), Salyuk (41')
Kryskiv (1'), Gocholeishvili (19')
Sep 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Shakhtar
2-1
Chornomorets
Shved (74'), Ocheretko (90+6')
Bragaru (9')
Mar 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Shakhtar
P-P
Chornomorets
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Chornomorets
0-3
Shakhtar

Biloshevskyi (13')
Sudakov (34'), Patrick (45+5'), Solomon (90+3')