Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 25

Apr 20, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Stadion Chornomorets

Chornomorets
1 - 2
Kryvbas Kryvyi

Bragaru (44')
Vasyliev (30'), Avagimian (55'), Ermakov (75'), Ogirya (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lunyov (47'), Fonseca (72')
Lunyov (74'), Morel Poe (90+3')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chornomorets Odesa

All competitions

Last Game: Luhansk 1-0 Chornomorets
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

All competitions

Last Game: Rukh Lviv 1-1 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Saturday, April 13 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 21.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.

Result
Chornomorets Odesa	Draw	Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
21.54% ( 0.44)	24.63% ( 0.07)	53.83% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 49.01% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.54% (

0.2)

52.46% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.86% (

0.17)

74.13% (

-0.17)

Chornomorets Odesa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.83% (

0.56)

39.17% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.12% (

0.53)

75.88% (

-0.53)

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56% (

-0.12)

19.44% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.73% (

-0.2)

51.27% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Chornomorets Odesa 21.54%

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 53.83%

Draw 24.62%

Chornomorets Odesa	Draw	Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.54%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 10.21% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.58% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.83%