Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.