Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.