Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Rukh Lviv
67.69% ( -0.52)	18.78% ( 0.21)	13.52% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 51.71% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.3% (

-0.23)

40.7% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.91% (

-0.24)

63.09% (

0.24)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.95% (

-0.2)

11.05% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.6% (

-0.44)

35.4% (

0.44)

Rukh Lviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.14% (

0.32)

41.86% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.68% (

0.27)

78.32% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 67.69%

Rukh Lviv 13.52%

Draw 18.78%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Rukh Lviv
2-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 67.69%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.78%	0-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.52%