Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Lviv would win this match.