Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.13%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a LNZ Cherkasy win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
LNZ Cherkasy	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
15.37% ( -0.01)	21.84% ( 0.03)	62.78% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.5% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.88% (

-0.12)

50.12% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.91% (

-0.11)

72.08% (

0.11)

LNZ Cherkasy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.96% (

-0.09)

45.03% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.04% (

-0.07)

80.96% (

0.07)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61% (

-0.04)

15.39% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.81% (

-0.09)

44.19% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

LNZ Cherkasy 15.37%

Shakhtar Donetsk 62.77%

Draw 21.84%

LNZ Cherkasy	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.21% 3-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 15.37%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.84%	0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 12.13% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 62.77%