Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.13%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a LNZ Cherkasy win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.