Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.