Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.