Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 75.85%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Minai had a probability of 8.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.01%) and 0-3 (10.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Minai win it was 1-0 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.