Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Minai had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.