Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 6
Apr 4, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Slavutych-Arena
Dynamo Kiev

Luhansk
0 - 3
Dynamo Kiev


Jordan (34'), Butko (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Andrievsky (7'), Kabaiev (22'), Brazhko (67')
Diallo (80'), Ponomarenko (80')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Dynamo Kiev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 2-1 Metalist Kharkiv
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Dynamo Kiev

All competitions
Last Game: Vorskla 1-5 Dynamo Kiev
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawDynamo Kiev
25.9% (1.599 1.6)24.66% (-0.281 -0.28)49.44% (-1.316 -1.32)
Both teams to score 53.76% (2.434 2.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (2.455 2.46)48.58% (-2.452 -2.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.3% (2.195 2.2)70.7% (-2.192 -2.19)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (2.688 2.69)33.07% (-2.684 -2.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (2.866 2.87)69.67% (-2.863 -2.86)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (0.432 0.43)19.68% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.33% (0.695 0.7)51.67% (-0.692 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 25.9%
    Dynamo Kiev 49.44%
    Draw 24.65%
Zorya LuhanskDrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-1 @ 6.48% (0.378 0.38)
2-0 @ 3.98% (0.182 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.298 0.3)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.265 0.27)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 25.9%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.682 -0.68)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.372 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 10.58% (-0.95 -0.95)
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.6% (-0.651 -0.65)
1-3 @ 5.16% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.237 0.24)
1-4 @ 2.1% (0.055 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 49.44%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dynamo Kiev
2-0
Luhansk
Vanat (30'), Popov (85')
Shepelev (52'), Shaparenko (81')
Mar 18, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 18
Dynamo Kiev
0-1
Luhansk
Guerrero (83')
Sep 3, 2022 11am
Gameweek 3
Luhansk
3-2
Dynamo Kiev
Rusyn (7'), Myshnyov (35'), Brazhko (70')
Rusyn (31'), Vantukh (58'), Nazaryna (79'), Alefirenko (83')
Vantukh (69')
Vanat (49'), Buyalskyy (83')
Syrota (22'), Zabarnyi (42'), Vanat (51'), Karavaev (55'), Shaparenko (75'), Buyalskyy (86')
Dec 12, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dynamo Kiev
1-1
Luhansk
Buyalskyy (44')
Sayyadmanesh (49')
Matsapura (54'), Nazaryna (77')
Aug 8, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Luhansk
1-2
Dynamo Kiev
Frimpong Owusu (90+4')
Nazaryna (57'), Vernydub (64'), Imerekov (70')
Syrota (17'), Buyalskyy (80')
Harmash (55'), Shaparenko (62'), Buyalskyy (81'), Bushchan (89')