Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Livyi Bereh
Luhansk2 - 1Metalist Kharkiv
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Metalist Kharkiv.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 2-0 Luhansk
Tuesday, March 12 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Tuesday, March 12 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 1-4 Rukh Lviv
Saturday, March 16 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Saturday, March 16 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
62.2% ( 0.21) | 21.89% ( -0.07) | 15.92% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.56% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
