Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Apr 9, 2024 at 11am UK
Dnipro Arena

Dnipro-1
2 - 2
Luhansk

Svatok (48'), Avramenko (52')
Babenko (54'), Adamyuk (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kyryukhantsev (54'), Horbach (62')
Batagov (47'), Kyryukhantsev (73')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dnipro-1 and Zorya Luhansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kovalivka 0-2 Dnipro-1
Sunday, March 31 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 0-3 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, April 4 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawZorya Luhansk
52.68% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)25.4% (0.012 0.01)21.92% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.27% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)20.9% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.38% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)53.62% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.77% (0.057000000000002 0.06)40.23% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.14% (0.052 0.05)76.86% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 52.67%
    Zorya Luhansk 21.92%
    Draw 25.4%
Dnipro-1DrawZorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 13.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 52.67%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 21.92%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 8
Luhansk
0-1
Dnipro-1

Vantukh (39')
Kogut (24')
Kravets (59'), Babenko (61'), Sarapiy (73')
Apr 15, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 21
Luhansk
2-1
Dnipro-1
Rusyn (54'), Guerrero (58')
Dovbyk (90+3')
Oct 9, 2022 11am
Gameweek 6
Dnipro-1
3-0
Luhansk
Dovbyk (29', 59', 75')
Apr 8, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 19
Luhansk
P-P
Dnipro-1
Sep 26, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Dnipro-1
0-4
Luhansk

Di Franco (41'), Kogut (81'), Cojocaru (89'), Kravchenko (89')
Kogut (82')
Buletsa (21'), Kochergin (87', 90+5'), Zahedi (90+1')
Nazaryna (16'), Favorov (29'), Kochergin (56'), Khomchenovskiy (61')