Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
49.16% ( -0.44)	20.85% ( -0.01)	29.98% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 70.87% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.42% (

0.35)

27.58% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.78% (

0.44)

48.22% (

-0.44)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.02% (

-0)

11.98% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.6% (

-0)

37.39% (

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.51% (

0.42)

19.49% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.64% (

0.68)

51.36% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 49.16%

Shakhtar Donetsk 29.98%

Draw 20.85%

Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.82% Total : 49.16%	1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.85%	1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.98%