Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 1-3 (5.68%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
31.65% ( -1.97)	21.94% ( -0.61)	46.41% ( 2.57)

Both teams to score 67.65% (

1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.86% (

2.21)

32.14% (

-2.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.27% (

2.54)

53.73% (

-2.53)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

0.02)

20.85% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.46% (

0.02)

53.54% (

-0.02)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.47% (

1.79)

14.53% (

-1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.44% (

3.34)

42.56% (

-3.34)

Score Analysis

Besiktas 31.65%

Shakhtar Donetsk 46.41%

Draw 21.94%

Besiktas	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.59) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.65%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.94%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.34) 2-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.27) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.22) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.14) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.51% Total : 46.41%