Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.