Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
Besiktas

Kasimpasa
2 - 1
Besiktas

da Costa (4'), Ozcan (61')
Porozo (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kilicsoy (87')
Kilicsoy (31'), Tiknaz (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 0-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Besiktas

All competitions
Last Game: Besiktas 2-2 Hatayspor
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawBesiktas
39.84% (0.019999999999996 0.02)25.16% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)35% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.98% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (0.048000000000002 0.05)46.58% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (0.044 0.04)68.85% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (0.031999999999996 0.03)23.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (0.044999999999995 0.04)57.09% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.019999999999996 0.02)25.81% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (0.025999999999996 0.03)60.77% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 39.84%
    Besiktas 35%
    Draw 25.15%
KasimpasaDrawBesiktas
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 35%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Besiktas

Kasimpasa
26.7%
Draw
6.7%
Besiktas
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 19
Besiktas
1-3
Kasimpasa
Kilicsoy (45+2')
Ucan (20'), Zainutdinov (30')
Da Costa (41', 80', 83')
Aydin (51'), Gul (90')
> Preview
Jun 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 37
Kasimpasa
2-5
Besiktas
Kara (62'), Donk (86')
Hajradinovic (45+1'), Djilobodji (90+12')
Fernandes (19'), Tosun (30'), Aboubakar (49'), Bingol (79'), Hutchinson (90+13' pen.)
Welinton (11'), Masuaku (82'), Vardar (90+3')
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Jan 7, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 18
Besiktas
2-1
Kasimpasa
Tosun (28'), Weghorst (45+6')
Engin (69')
> Preview
Apr 25, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Besiktas
0-3
Kasimpasa

Souza (22'), Pjanic (35'), Destanoglu (36'), Vida (61'), Montero (68')
Muleka (28', 82'), Ben Ouannes (45+1')
Muleka (36'), Ben Ouannes (45+2'), Spajic (56'), Donk (78'), Aabid (90')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 15
Kasimpasa
1-1
Besiktas
Bozok (82')
Erdogan (59'), Serbest (89'), Travnik (90+3')
Bozdogan (12')
Souza (43'), Larin (66'), Welinton (89')
> Preview