Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 35

May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
4 - 1
Kasimpasa

Pelkas (15'), Davidson (23', 69'), Kemen (86')
Ali Sahiner (32'), Turuc (36')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ben Ouannes (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions

Last Game: Hatayspor 1-2 Istanbul
Saturday, April 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kasimpasa

All competitions

Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-0 Samsunspor
Saturday, April 27 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Kasimpasa
53.43% ( 0.01)	22.92% ( 0.01)	23.65% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.1% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.97% (

-0.04)

43.03% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.57% (

-0.04)

65.43% (

0.04)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.92% (

-0.01)

16.09% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.52% (

-0.02)

45.48% (

0.02)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05% (

-0.03)

31.95% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

-0.04)

68.41% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 53.43%

Kasimpasa 23.65%

Draw 22.91%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Kasimpasa
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.43%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.91%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 23.65%