Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.