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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Antalya Stadyumu

Antalyaspor
2 - 1
Hatayspor

Buksa (67'), Bytyqi (90+2')
van de Streek (59'), Yesilyurt (60'), Sari (87'), Uzun (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dele-Bashiru (26')
Ghoulam (8'), Faruk Beyaz (15'), Kardesler (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 3-0 Antalyaspor
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 0-3 Istanbulspor
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Antalyaspor 1-0 Hatayspor

With two of the lowest-scoring teams in the division going head-to-head, we expect a nervy and cagey affair. That said, we just about fancy Antalyaspor to carry the day come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.

Result
AntalyasporDrawHatayspor
61.87% (1.337 1.34) 21.49% (-0.371 -0.37) 16.64% (-0.968 -0.97)
Both teams to score 50.35% (-0.786 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)46.42% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)68.71% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (0.41000000000001 0.41)14.46% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.58% (0.78400000000001 0.78)42.42% (-0.785 -0.78)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.85% (-1.206 -1.21)41.14% (1.205 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.31% (-1.09 -1.09)77.68% (1.089 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 61.86%
    Hatayspor 16.64%
    Draw 21.48%
AntalyasporDrawHatayspor
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 11.12% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.17% (0.319 0.32)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.47% (0.202 0.2)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.097 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 61.86%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.48%
0-1 @ 5.28% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.64%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
Hatayspor
3-3
Antalyaspor
Strandberg (19'), Alici (62'), Kilama (71')
Massanga (39'), Demirel (40'), Demir (67')
Demirel (0'), (90+14')
Yesilyurt (35'), Buksa (57', 88')
Sari (69'), Safouri (90+13')
Jun 3, 2023 5pm
Jan 7, 2023 1pm
Apr 11, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Antalyaspor
4-1
Hatayspor
Wright (16', 35'), Naldo (29'), Adriano (55')
Fernando (8')
Biram Diouf (38')
Lobzhanidze (74')
Ribeiro (67')
Nov 20, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 13
Hatayspor
3-1
Antalyaspor
El Kaabi (45+1'), Ribeiro (69'), Biram Diouf (85' pen.)
Oksuz (21'), Kurucuk (79')
Mukairu (45+3')
Sinik (35'), Mukairu (40'), Zehir (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray36323189246599
2Fenerbahce36296192316193
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor361941364481661
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul361771251401158
5BesiktasBesiktas36167134943655
6KasimpasaKasimpasa36157146064-452
7SivassporSivasspor371312124553-851
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor361214105148350
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor36147154856-849
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor371212134348-548
11Adana Demirspor371014135255-344
12Samsunspor36119164048-842
13KayserisporKayserispor361111144153-1241
14KonyasporKonyaspor36913143748-1140
15AnkaragucuAnkaragucu36815134448-439
16GaziantepGaziantep36108184656-1038
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk36910174548-337
18Hatayspor36813154150-937
19Pendikspor3699184272-3036
RIstanbulspor3747262774-4716


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