Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
1 - 0
Samsunspor

Kara (3')
Fall (41'), Gianniotis (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dimata (72'), van Drongelen (78'), Fofana (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Samsunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gaziantep 2-0 Kasimpasa
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 1-1 Adana Demirspor
Saturday, April 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kasimpasa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kasimpasa.

Result
KasimpasaDrawSamsunspor
47.49% (-0.298 -0.3)24.91% (0.138 0.14)27.59% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.35% (-0.339 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.54% (-0.497 -0.5)48.45% (0.488 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.41% (-0.456 -0.46)70.59% (0.44800000000001 0.45)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)20.44% (0.32 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (-0.518 -0.52)52.89% (0.509 0.51)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (-0.149 -0.15)31.67% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91% (-0.168 -0.17)68.09% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 47.48%
    Samsunspor 27.59%
    Draw 24.91%
KasimpasaDrawSamsunspor
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.48%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 27.59%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor

Kasimpasa
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Samsunspor
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 15
Samsunspor
4-2
Kasimpasa
Mouandilmadji (11', 22'), Kilinc (60'), Ntcham (75')
Ntcham (44')
Ozcan (90+1'), Da Costa (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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