Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
Antalyaspor logo (not for use in articles)

Kasimpasa
3 - 1
Antalyaspor

Ngoy (16'), da Costa (37'), Hajradinovic (82' pen.)
Ozcan (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gerxhaliu (90+1')
Sari (80')
Yesilyurt (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Antalyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 4-1 Kasimpasa
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-2 Pendikspor
Monday, May 6 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawAntalyaspor
43.74% (0.041999999999994 0.04)24.65% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)31.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.67% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.79% (0.239 0.24)45.21% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.45% (0.228 0.23)67.56% (-0.226 -0.23)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.119 0.12)20.75% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (0.187 0.19)53.39% (-0.185 -0.18)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (0.123 0.12)27.23% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35% (0.159 0.16)62.65% (-0.157 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 43.74%
    Antalyaspor 31.61%
    Draw 24.64%
KasimpasaDrawAntalyaspor
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.74%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.35% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.78% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.61%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Antalyaspor

Kasimpasa
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Antalyaspor
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Antalyaspor
0-0
Kasimpasa
Assombalonga (26'), Vural (45+1')
Ugurlu (27'), Ciftpinar (28'), Fall (58')
Mar 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 24
Kasimpasa
3-1
Antalyaspor
Chouiar (22'), Koita (39'), Malsa (60')
Fernando (45' pen.)
Sep 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Antalyaspor
0-2
Kasimpasa
Hadergjonaj (45+6' pen.), Sertel (61' og.)
May 15, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 37
Kasimpasa
2-4
Antalyaspor
Bozok (37', 90+6' pen.)
Fall (63'), Torun (90')
Fredy (19'), Naldo (47'), Wright (53'), Hadergjonaj (70' og.)
Floranus (63')
Dec 21, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 18
Antalyaspor
1-1
Kasimpasa
Naldo (38')
Poli (88'), Fredy (90')
Bozok (90+2')
Hadergjonaj (40'), Eysseric (56'), Donk (60'), Taskiran (83')