Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.12%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
49.79% ( 1.06)	21.37% ( 0.28)	28.83% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 67.96% (

-2.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.01% (

-2.33)

30.99% (

2.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.62% (

-2.82)

52.38% (

2.82)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.99% (

-0.51)

13.01% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.46% (

-1.05)

39.53% (

1.05)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.13% (

-1.94)

21.87% (

1.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.88% (

-3.04)

55.11% (

3.04)

Score Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 49.79%

Shakhtar Donetsk 28.83%

Draw 21.37%

Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 9% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.53) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.62) 3-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.16) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.31% Total : 49.79%	1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.37%	1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.39% Total : 28.83%