Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Minai had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.