Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.