NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion Stozice

Ljubljana
2 - 0
Polissya

Florucz (56'), Pinto (90+2')
Silva (31'), Kojic (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sarapiy (25'), Budkivskyi (31'), Maisuradze (49'), Krushynskyi (87')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between NK Olimpija Ljubljana and Polissya Zhytomyr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ljubljana 2-0 Primorje
Friday, July 19 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Polissya 2-2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Wednesday, July 17 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 23.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Olimpija Ljubljana would win this match.

Result
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
53.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.35% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.08% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)44.22% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)66.59% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)16.47% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.82% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)46.18% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13%32.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 53.54%
    Polissya Zhytomyr 23.35%
    Draw 23.11%
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.8%
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.54%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 23.35%