Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 35
May 11, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt
NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Maribor
2 - 1
Ljubljana

Soudani (15'), Sirvys (66')
Karic (45+3'), Feta (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Durdov (57' og.)
Sualehe (41'), Brest (75'), Brest (80'), Motika (80'), Bristric (90+2')
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Maribor and NK Olimpija Ljubljana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

All competitions
Last Game: Maribor 3-1 Celje
Saturday, May 4 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

All competitions
Last Game: Ljubljana 0-0 NS Mura
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Maribor in this match.

Result
MariborDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
54.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.01% (0.0020000000000024 0)23.65% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.87% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.67% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.84% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)42.16% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.73% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 54.34%
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 23.65%
    Draw 22.01%
MariborDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 54.34%
1-1 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 23.65%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Ljubljana
1-2
Maribor
Motika (6')
Bristric (90+5')
Lasickas (69')
Soudani (65'), Repas (77')
Vrhovec (28')
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Maribor
3-1
Ljubljana
Jakupovic (4' pen.), Repas (6', 22')
Karic (49'), Repas (59'), Vrhovec (84'), Jug (90'), Skuka (90+2'), Soudani (90+3')
Nukic (90+3' pen.)
Motika (38'), Muhamedbegovic (90+1'), Silva (90+5')
Sep 16, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 8
Ljubljana
2-1
Maribor
Pedro (33'), Ratnik (65')
Motika (56'), Muhamedbegovic (58')
Lausic (69')
Bozic (61'), Lorber (71'), Mitrovic (84')