/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fcellog.png)
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Sven Karic
12'
-
Hillal Soudani
28'
-
Maks Barisic
85'
-
Luka Bobicanec
60'
-
David Zec
61'
-
Aljosa Matko
72'
-
Sunday Adetunji
88'
Maribor vs Celje - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 54.65%. A win for Celje had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
Result
Maribor
54.65%
▲
(+1.65)
Draw
22.16%
▼
(-0.51)
Celje
23.18%
▼
(-1.14)
Both Teams to Score:
59.13%
▲
(+0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.92%
▲
(+1.10)
Under 2.5
40.08%
▼
(-1.11)
Over 3.5
37.55%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 3.5
62.45%
▼
(-1.13)
Over 4.5
20.21%
▲
(+0.87)
Under 4.5
79.79%
▼
(-0.87)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5
85.36%
▲
(+0.93)
Under 0.5
14.64%
▼
(-0.94)
Over 1.5
57.23%
▲
(+1.76)
Under 1.5
42.76%
▼
(-1.76)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5
69.27%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 0.5
30.73%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 1.5
33.01%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 1.5
66.98%
▲
(+0.41)
Score analysis
Maribor
54.65%
Draw
22.15%
Celje
23.18%
Maribor
2-1
@
9.8%
▲
(+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.21)
4-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.20)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.11)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 54.65%
1-0 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.21)
4-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.20)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.11)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 54.65%
Draw
1-1
@
10.19%
▼
(-0.30)
2-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.15%
2-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.15%
Celje
1-2
@
6.02%
▼
(-0.23)
0-1 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.33)
0-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.33)
0-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 23.18%