Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 34
May 4, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt
Celje

Maribor
3 - 1
Celje

Karic (12'), Soudani (28'), Barisic (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Adetunji (88')
Bobicanec (60'), Zec (61'), Matko (72')
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Maribor and Celje.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

All competitions
Last Game: Domzale 1-1 Maribor
Saturday, April 27 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Celje

All competitions
Last Game: Celje 1-0 Ljubljana
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 54.65%. A win for Celje had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.

Result
MariborDrawCelje
54.65% (1.64 1.64)22.16% (-0.502 -0.5)23.18% (-1.138 -1.14)
Both teams to score 59.13% (0.356 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.92% (1.099 1.1)40.08% (-1.1 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.55% (1.128 1.13)62.45% (-1.128 -1.13)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (0.92999999999999 0.93)14.64% (-0.931 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.23% (1.759 1.76)42.76% (-1.76 -1.76)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (-0.342 -0.34)30.73% (0.342 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01% (-0.407 -0.41)66.98% (0.40599999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 54.65%
    Celje 23.18%
    Draw 22.15%
MariborDrawCelje
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.234 0.23)
3-0 @ 5.32% (0.246 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.206 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.196 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.105 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.114 0.11)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.65%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.327 -0.33)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 23.18%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
Celje
1-1
Maribor
Matko (49')
Svetlin (13'), Edmilson (30'), Prutsev (77'), Menalo (84')
Karic (84')
Dizdarevic (54')
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Maribor
0-1
Celje

Soudani (22'), Zinic (68')
Zabukovnik (70')
Prutsev (44'), Nemanic (74')
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Celje
2-0
Maribor
Karnicnik (12'), Matko (90+2')
Kouter (35')

Lausic (38')