Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for NK Domzale had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a NK Domzale win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.