Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 73.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 10.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for an Aluminij win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.